Post ID | Date & Time | Game Date | Function |
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#41534 | 11/05/2016 7:33:17 pm | ||
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9569 Haverhill Halflings III.1 | This is the other thread I was referencing. | ||
#41535 | 11/05/2016 9:52:38 pm | ||
MukilteoMike Joined: 08/09/2014 Posts: 3294 Inactive | Thanks, Rock. I hadn't seen that. Well, I saw the thread title when I searched "minor," but I didn't realize it talked about stats. I'll have to do a little research now. It's still a bit difficult since minor league stats haven't been around a long time. I'd like to have at least 400 IP in both minors and majors for comparisons, even if I think stuff below AAA is not very important. I could definitely be wrong. Anyway, you've provided a starting point for me of things to consider. Thanks. | ||
#41558 | 11/07/2016 10:12:42 am | ||
Dan6176 Joined: 04/30/2016 Posts: 254 Inactive | The more experience a player has, the more I use stats at minor league level. I also look to see if they improve in there second season at a particular level. Scouting reports can be off by 20%, so the stats help me decide if a player is on the + or - side of that 20%. I don't draft players under 12 pot but there are players on my team that are 11 pot that have been effective but they were either inherited when I got my team or a free agent whose stats didn't scare me. Updated Monday, November 7 2016 @ 10:14:06 am PST |
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#41581 | 11/07/2016 3:54:20 pm | ||
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9569 Haverhill Halflings III.1 | Just realized I only talked about pitchers in that thread. For Hitters, I monitor FPCT, SB, vLHP, vRHP, GB/FB, HR, K/BB. OPS to a lesser extent. When they get up into AAA I start paying more attention to OBP and SLG. I generally find that players GB/FB will spike a bit when they first promote to a new level, and then converge back to a normalized value in their second or third years at that minor level. This can happen in either direction. So I believe you can somewhat predict where their GB/FB is going to end up if you follow their trends through the minors. |
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#41582 | 11/07/2016 4:00:32 pm | ||
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9569 Haverhill Halflings III.1 | Santa is a particularly nasty example of this. Most guys who start off with 1.60 GB/FB in their first year in A would then slowly drop that number. Santa's number slowly rose. And then dropped dramatically (1.37) his first year in AA. And then slowly rose again. I thought the numbers were just completely random at first. But now I realize he was converging on his naturally (VERY HIGH) GB/FB. I think he misunderstood the meaning of "moon shot"... You can't hit HRs when you hit them straight up... Updated Monday, November 7 2016 @ 4:01:24 pm PST |
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#41588 | 11/07/2016 7:17:51 pm | ||
GrizzlyDan Joined: 06/30/2016 Posts: 199 Atlanta Braves IV.2 | And then there's this guy. He was scuffling down in Rookie ball when the green arrow indicated he was ready for A ball. Oddly his average jumped UP from .282 to .467 (small sample size alert) in five games. He is averaging an RBI a game with three dingers already. Go figure. |
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#41591 | 11/08/2016 4:51:36 am | ||
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9569 Haverhill Halflings III.1 | That's a pretty small sample size. I wouldn't read anything into 15 ABs. | ||
#41620 | 11/09/2016 2:13:04 pm | ||
garfscores Joined: 10/13/2014 Posts: 488 Battle Creek Sting III.4 | @Rock you mean straight down? Wouldn't a 1.75 gb/fb mean he's hitting almost twice as many ground balls as fly balls??? | ||
#41623 | 11/09/2016 2:52:38 pm | ||
newtman Joined: 11/02/2013 Posts: 3343 Inactive | Yeah, I'm guessing he meant that guy likes to hit choppers. | ||
#41625 | 11/09/2016 4:13:10 pm | ||
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9569 Haverhill Halflings III.1 | Yeah, I said that backwards. I wish he hit them up. Without bouncing them first. |