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Rock777
Joined: 09/21/2014
Posts: 9569

Haverhill Halflings
III.1

Broken Bat Baseball
This is the other thread I was referencing.
MukilteoMike
Joined: 08/09/2014
Posts: 3294

Inactive

Broken Bat Baseball
Thanks, Rock. I hadn't seen that. Well, I saw the thread title when I searched "minor," but I didn't realize it talked about stats. I'll have to do a little research now. It's still a bit difficult since minor league stats haven't been around a long time. I'd like to have at least 400 IP in both minors and majors for comparisons, even if I think stuff below AAA is not very important. I could definitely be wrong. Anyway, you've provided a starting point for me of things to consider. Thanks.
Dan6176
Joined: 04/30/2016
Posts: 254

Inactive

Broken Bat Baseball
The more experience a player has, the more I use stats at minor league level. I also look to see if they improve in there second season at a particular level. Scouting reports can be off by 20%, so the stats help me decide if a player is on the + or - side of that 20%. I don't draft players under 12 pot but there are players on my team that are 11 pot that have been effective but they were either inherited when I got my team or a free agent whose stats didn't scare me.

Updated Monday, November 7 2016 @ 10:14:06 am PST
Rock777
Joined: 09/21/2014
Posts: 9569

Haverhill Halflings
III.1

Broken Bat Baseball
Just realized I only talked about pitchers in that thread.

For Hitters, I monitor FPCT, SB, vLHP, vRHP, GB/FB, HR, K/BB. OPS to a lesser extent.

When they get up into AAA I start paying more attention to OBP and SLG.

I generally find that players GB/FB will spike a bit when they first promote to a new level, and then converge back to a normalized value in their second or third years at that minor level. This can happen in either direction. So I believe you can somewhat predict where their GB/FB is going to end up if you follow their trends through the minors.
Rock777
Joined: 09/21/2014
Posts: 9569

Haverhill Halflings
III.1

Broken Bat Baseball
Santa is a particularly nasty example of this. Most guys who start off with 1.60 GB/FB in their first year in A would then slowly drop that number. Santa's number slowly rose. And then dropped dramatically (1.37) his first year in AA. And then slowly rose again. I thought the numbers were just completely random at first. But now I realize he was converging on his naturally (VERY HIGH) GB/FB. I think he misunderstood the meaning of "moon shot"... You can't hit HRs when you hit them straight up... :(










Updated Monday, November 7 2016 @ 4:01:24 pm PST
GrizzlyDan
Joined: 06/30/2016
Posts: 199

Atlanta Braves
IV.2

Broken Bat Baseball
And then there's this guy.

He was scuffling down in Rookie ball when the green arrow indicated he was ready for A ball. Oddly his average jumped UP from .282 to .467 (small sample size alert) in five games. He is averaging an RBI a game with three dingers already. Go figure.
Rock777
Joined: 09/21/2014
Posts: 9569

Haverhill Halflings
III.1

Broken Bat Baseball
That's a pretty small sample size. I wouldn't read anything into 15 ABs.
garfscores
Joined: 10/13/2014
Posts: 488

Battle Creek Sting
III.4

Broken Bat Baseball
@Rock you mean straight down? Wouldn't a 1.75 gb/fb mean he's hitting almost twice as many ground balls as fly balls???
newtman
Joined: 11/02/2013
Posts: 3343

Inactive

Broken Bat Baseball
Yeah, I'm guessing he meant that guy likes to hit choppers.
Rock777
Joined: 09/21/2014
Posts: 9569

Haverhill Halflings
III.1

Broken Bat Baseball
Yeah, I said that backwards. I wish he hit them up. Without bouncing them first.


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