Post ID | Date & Time | Game Date | Function |
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#83393 | 07/23/2021 11:28:44 am | Apr 7th, 2051 | |
michaeltodd2 Joined: 02/20/2018 Posts: 325 Paradise Valley Cubs III.3 | For some time now I have been operating with the belief that minus a few caveats, that minor league stats can reveal how a player will do in the majors. It seemed that as soon as I started putting a premium on them, particularly with my pitching staff, that is when my team started moving out of the basement of league 6 and started climbing. I'm currently in League 3. With amatuer/overseas stats, as far as I can tell though, I see no connection between amateur/overseas stats and how a player will perform in the majors. Recently though, after scouring the waiver wire for older veteran pitchers in their 30's, I seem to have stumbled upon a lot of pitchers with horrible minor league stats that went on to have great careers, with multiple seasons of All-Star and All League awarding performances. These players I was looking at had a full slate of minor league stats, from rookie to AAA, so it wasn't a matter of a small sample size. So now I'm beginning to wonder?? Is there a real connection...? Any thoughts gang? | ||
#83397 | 07/23/2021 3:06:35 pm | Apr 8th, 2051 | |
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9569 Haverhill Halflings III.1 | There are lots of factors in play. Like how quickly a player goes through the system, or how much early experience they gained through spring training. One thing for sure, the minor league stats can give you some info on tendencies (GB/FB, stealing aggressiveness, etc.) Lots of valuable information, but just because a guy his a ton in the minors doesn't guarantee he continues. Reverse is the same. Some guys get pushed through quickly, and their numbers won't always be great because they move up before they are a crushing it at any level. Other guys move through slowly, and are crushing the ball, but then they cap. Some players may not look great in the minors, but have a high cap, so they keep improving in the majors. While other players dominate the majors, but hit their caps very early, and don't scale to the majors. Plus you have RNG to deal with. So I think there is a lot of value in the minor stats, but I think you also need to look at everything through a wide lense. | ||
#83399 | 07/23/2021 3:12:02 pm | Apr 8th, 2051 | |
electriceel883 Joined: 05/26/2021 Posts: 1494 Irvine Infernos II.2 | I think its valuable for tendencies, however I have seen many players both improve a lot, and actually regress from where they were in Amateur/Prep. For example Lagos, his control has developed REALLY slowly and didnt improve his control in the minors at all from prep. Thats pretty unusual. I find control is one thing most players improve, but generally stay with their tendencies to some degree. With hitters I would say prep is not great at predictions | ||
#83406 | 07/23/2021 6:00:53 pm | Apr 10th, 2051 | |
todd Joined: 01/30/2020 Posts: 144 Wellington Phoenix Legends | Good info, I really like the point that how quickly or slowly they move through the minors affecting their stats. From now on i'll have to keep an eye out for that. | ||
#83474 | 07/25/2021 7:02:02 pm | Apr 18th, 2051 | |
michaeltodd2 Joined: 02/20/2018 Posts: 325 Paradise Valley Cubs III.3 | As far as I can tell, Amateur stats are almost always inflated, good or bad stats. |