Broken Bat - Help: Minor League Stats

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Post ID	Date & Time	Game Date	Function

#30725	02/16/2016 2:32:27 pm
admin Joined: 01/27/2010 Posts: 4985 Administrator	These are true....let me say I don't think the game engine scales up equally with talent level. So don't expect a guy hitting .350 in AAA to eventually hit .350 in the big leagues. But you can compare two players performance in the minor leagues. All other things being equal, a guy hitting .350 in AAA should have higher expectations than the guy hitting .150. If the guy is bombing out in the minors...it's hard to see how he makes it in the big leagues. Steve

#30726	02/16/2016 2:36:01 pm
newtman Joined: 11/02/2013 Posts: 3343 Inactive	If the guy is bombing out in the minors...it's hard to see how he makes it in the big leagues. That I do totally agree with, only defensive specialists are allowed to stink at hitting in the minors over the course of a full season.

#30727	02/16/2016 2:51:51 pm
Crazy Li Joined: 01/25/2015 Posts: 879 Inactive	To me, it depends on where he is versus his potential. I'll stick with a guy hitting below .200 in the minors if his report says very good hitter but his current hitting is low (so reasonable for the numbers he's generating) given he has enough time left in the minors where he has a decent chance of nearing that potential by 25.

#30728	02/16/2016 2:54:11 pm
newtman Joined: 11/02/2013 Posts: 3343 Inactive	True, though if a guy still has 0 in hitting at 23 he is unlikely to make that very good report anyways (just using an easy example). That is usually the type of very good hitter that is hitting below .200 from what I've seen.

#30732	02/16/2016 3:10:28 pm
Crazy Li Joined: 01/25/2015 Posts: 879 Inactive	Under .200 might be an exaggeration but guys with something like 7/16 at age 21 may hit low 200s but still end up fine.

#30734	02/16/2016 4:07:29 pm
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9599 Haverhill Halflings III.1	Yeah, this is where I think there is a little insight into over/under scouting. If the guy is bombing out but underdeveloped for that level, then its not a huge deal. But if he looks like he should be good at that level and he is still bombing out, he might be overrated. Conversely if he is doing great despite his ratings looking a little on the low side, then he might be underrated. You still have to caveat that with everything else mentioned in this thread, but I do think there is some insight available if your willing to dig. Personally I don't usually notice until they've been bombing out in my majors for a couple years first LOL.

#30735	02/16/2016 4:30:29 pm
DaveCool Joined: 02/28/2015 Posts: 141 Inactive	So basically I should go with my gut but two nearly identical players at the same level should have relatively identical stats? Updated Tuesday, February 16 2016 @ 4:49:56 pm PST Updated Tuesday, February 16 2016 @ 4:51:45 pm PST

#30736	02/16/2016 4:33:43 pm
DaveCool Joined: 02/28/2015 Posts: 141 Inactive	Updated Tuesday, February 16 2016 @ 4:50:34 pm PST

#30737	02/16/2016 4:57:27 pm
admin Joined: 01/27/2010 Posts: 4985 Administrator	Are you talking about 2026 or 2025 minor league statistics? Most players have only played in ~20 games thus far for 2026, so statistics are a pretty small sample size. For 2025, he probably played closer to 140 games. Steve

#30746	02/17/2016 5:47:19 am
DaveCool Joined: 02/28/2015 Posts: 141 Inactive	Yeah, I suppose that it would be difficult to properly compare minor leaguers because no two players would usually have similar amounts of games, AB or IP because they would normally be changing levels. Is it bad for players to spend more than maybe two seasons at any level other than AA or AAA?