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Haselrig
Joined: 04/13/2014
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Any way to add one or two positive scouting report terms for control and plate discipline? Maybe something like "He can paint the corners" if a pitching prospect has good potential in control and "He can be a real Picasso" if he has great potential in control. For plate discipline, maybe "He can be a patient hitter" if he has good potential in that area. Right now, it's hard to differentiate between prospects with those two attributes other than to avoid prospects with negative control comments.
newtman
Joined: 11/02/2013
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I completely agree, more differentiation on these in terms of potential would be a very good thing. Also, something like "he will never have any patience" for guys with no potential to develop patience. Right now some of these stats are guessing games as to what will develop.

Updated Sunday, July 20 2014 @ 5:00:54 am PDT
curtisp5286
Joined: 08/25/2012
Posts: 95

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I think these may be deliberate omissions on Steve's part. These are some of the most difficult areas to predict when trying to figure out how real life prospects will develop.

On the other hand, some prospects do show very good control/plate discipline from the very beginning.

Maybe only a minority of prospects(10% maybe) should have comments about control or plate discipline in their scouting report. There really are some prospects who you can tell excel in these areas even at a very young age.

Curtis P

Haselrig
Joined: 04/13/2014
Posts: 2790

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Plate discipline I could concede. I can see how that could be the more realistic approach. For control though, there are at least two negative scouting comments regarding control with no balancing positive ones. I could be wrong, but I think that's the only attribute with that arrangement. If there's an underlying reason for that I'm not seeing, then the suggested additions can certainly be disregarded. It's just something I've noticed over and over in prospects reports as I put together my free agency plan for next season.
newtman
Joined: 11/02/2013
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I'd be willing to bet that the reason there are negative without positive comments is because control affects all pitches, but is secondary to velocity, movement, and CoS. Thus a very high control pitcher is not necessarily good, but a low control pitcher will be inconsistent. I think it would be nice to see more differentiation on scouting reports, but I can see why he doesn't include any positive control aspects.
Haselrig
Joined: 04/13/2014
Posts: 2790

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Yep, that's probably pretty close to the mark. Just one of those things you notice but don't really see all of the angles to.
admin
Joined: 01/27/2010
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We wanted there to be a certain amount of uncertainly in scouting. So some skills and some parts of the skill spectrum aren't well covered in the scouting reports.

For control, there are 3 "negative" comments and no "positive" comments. In minor league baseball, there are a lot of wild young pitching prospects (mastering control tends to come with practice/age) so that's highlighted. Whether a pitchers really masters control is something that might develop only after a while and later in a prospects career, so that's why the higher end of the spectrum is not well covered in the scouting report.

Steve
ReekyLeek
Joined: 11/19/2013
Posts: 115

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Makes sense but that being said you do find some that make their way thru the system with low velocity but due to great command come up and have great success. Mark Buehrle, Jared Weaver to name a few. They manage to remain great pitchers using pinpoint command. And these pitchers tend to have the longest careers. So isn't it possible to add it to the rare pitcher that may already have good control at a young age?
Seca
Joined: 05/05/2014
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Buehlre was a 38th round draft pick (who knew there where that many rounds?). Weaver pitched in the 90s when he first hit the majors.

I don't see why this is necessary. Control and change of speeds are 2 things that develop as the prospect grows. You have an idea of velocity, movement, and overall. You can make a decent estimate of a pitcher's control.
admin
Joined: 01/27/2010
Posts: 4985

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According to fan graphs, Buerle throws a fastball, curveball, changeup, slider (at times), and cut fastball/cutter.

So yes, he's a command pitcher. But he does have an arsenal of pitches with movement and change of speeds that combine with great control to get him outs. He just doesn't have a lot of velocity.


Steve


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